Econ
Brexit: Vietnam - Britain trade has no big change
Economic experts said that Brexit will not strongly affect Vietnam`s trade and investment relation with Britain and the European Union.
Britain's market is a large importer of Vietnamese seafood
|
Many economists have identified that Brexit will not greatly affect Vietnam's economy and stock market. Vietnamese shares dove on June 24’s morning and then climbed slightly as investors reacted in shock to Britain’s decision to terminate its membership in the European Union (EU).
The benchmark VN Index ended at 620.77 points, down 1.8 per cent from June 23, after plunging more than 5 percent earlier – the worst drop since January 28. The HNX Index on the Hanoi Stock Exchange fell 2 percent – the steepest decline since January 7 – to finish at 83.62 points, pulling back from a four-day rally of 1.7 percent.
“Investor confidence fell very low after voting results revealed the UK chose to leave the EU, creating one of the strongest sell-offs ever on global stock markets,” Saigon-Hanoi Securities Corp (SHS) reported. The strong sell-off resulted in the highest market trading liquidity in the last two years, SHS said. Investors exchanged more than 380.7 million shares worth 6.13 trillion VND (272.5 million USD).
The final Brexit voting results also pushed British sterling down to a 31-year low against the US dollar. The sterling also became weaker against the Vietnamese dong. The exchange rate between the sterling and the dong fell 6 percent at Vietcombank to 31,320.49 VND for a sterling.
Investors are watching shares being traded on the Securities exchange platform
|
Gold prices on the local exchanges also saw gains. For example, each tael of the Saigon Jewelery Joint Stock Company reached a value of 35.9 million VND, before closing between 35.2 million VND and 35.5 million VND, an increase of 3.8-4.7 per cent over June 23’s values.
Lower investor confidence pulled most sectors down. Sectors that witnessed the strongest declines included the insurance, energy, brokerage and banking sectors. All blue chips were down. Insurer Bao Viet Holdings (BVH) slumped 3.3 percent, dairy firm Vinamilk (VNM) dropped 2.1 percent, consumer goods producer Masan Group (MSN) slid 2.2 percent.
Among the banks, Vietcombank (VCB) and Vietinbank (CTG) lost 2.5 percent and 2.9 percent, the Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam (BIDV) and Saigon -Hanoi Bank (SHB) slipped 1.7 percent and 3.2 percent. The largest securities firms on the stock market suffered heavily from low investor confidence. Saigon Securities Inc (SSI), HCM City Securities Corp (HCM), Saigon-Hanoi Securities Corp (SHS), and VNDirect Securities Corp (VND) plunged between 2.4-5.8 percent.
“As global markets are connected closely to each other, Vietnam’s stock market will likely continue to suffer more from the current low investor confidence in the world,” Bao Viet Securities said. "Vietnam will not suffer much from Britain's exit of the EU as the country is a small trade partner of Britain with a good political relationship, and a very small amount of foreign direct investment projects in the country come from British companies," Nguyen Mai, Chairman of the Vietnam Association of Foreign Invested Enterprises said.
Additionally, emerging markets in the Asia-Pacific region, including Vietnam, will remain at the centre of the world's economic development, and draw financial capital from the European markets if Britain leaves the EU, Maritime Securities Inc wrote in a report.
