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Econ

Gold Raising: Impractical Policy for the Time Being

According to the State Bank of Vietnam, raising gold held by Vietnamese citizens aims at fostering the nations’ socio economic development.

However, how raise gold  and manage the gold market  to avoid gold fevers as it occurred repeatedly in the past  still remains a heated debate.
 
Avoiding overheated gold market
 
The 2017 annual report on the Vietnamese economy released by the The Vietnam Institute for Economic and Policy Research (VEPR) made newspaper headlines as it gave an assessment on the  Vietnam Gold Traders Association’s proposal to raise  an approximately 500 tons of gold from the public.
 
According economic expert Nguyen Duc Thanh, the proposal is causing uncertaity  in the market and it would reverse  the government  intervention and control measures against “goldenization” and “dollarization” of the economy.

 
 
 
Transactions at Bao Tin Minh Chau Jewelry Co., Ltd
Transactions at Bao Tin Minh Chau Jewelry Co., Ltd

 
Under the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) assessment, the Vietnamese gold market has remained stable and self-regulated in 2016 and the first months of 2017.  Gold has become less attractive and gold transactions have  decreased considerably compared to previous years.
 
Over the past years,  the SBV has succeeded in banning gold and foreign currency  as means of exchange.  According to VEPR analysis, raising gold would trigger gold hoarding and speculation. VEPR suggested the government to be consistent and resolute in gold market intervention and control to avoid repeating the past mistake.

Alternative investment channels

Gold raising policy was conducted 7 years ago when credit institutions were allowed to raise and lend gold.  However, the policy was twisted, resulting in loss of funding and negative impacts on the economy and the trust of citizens. In order to fix the problems, the gold raising policy expanded with the opening of gold trading floors  and gold trading accounts. The policy failed because of poor management leading to gold trading floor closure in 2010.

Customer is looking for jewerly
 
Some  suggest the government to raise gold through issuing gold certificate.  However, economist  Vu Dinh Anh said it’s more important to create alternative investment channels for the people to put their money in, instead of using gold as savings. According to an expert from the National Financial Supervision Commission, the monopoly of the SBV in gold transaction  has a great effect on the stabilization of the gold market. Only when the gold market stabilized that the gold raising policy should be considered.  “The optimal solution is being considered, but as difficult as the task is right now, it is too early talk about raising gold from the public,” the expert emphasizes.

 the Prime Minister has instructed related agencies to work on  policies and regulations  for a stable macroeconomic environment and a reinforcement of value and trust in the Vietnamese dong and in this way luring gold and foreign exchange investment in production activities. . This is different from the previous definition of "mobilization," which indicates that the Government or the Bank lend gold or foreign currency from citizens.
 
“The policy of gold raising initiative is correct, as the citizens possess a large amount of gold. It would make no sense If we fail to mobilize this resource to serve the economic development. However, how we do it is a different story”. EconomistNguyen Tri Hieu
 
“Gold mobilization has been carried out in various ways, however, none are efficient up until now. Some even caused severe consequences. The poor results are due to citizens' low confidence in the market, as except for keeping gold, they cannot invest in any other channels. Therefore, the gold raising now  is unrealistic”, said Economist Luu Bich Ho.
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