Securities company KB Securities projected Vietnam’s GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2019 to reach 6.95 - 7%, leading to the whole-year growth at nearly 7%.
Since the third quarter of 2018, Samsung Vietnam has no longer served as a driving force for Vietnam’s GDP growth, as the company has entered the phase of stable growth and its parent company Samsung Electronics is under pressure from unfavorable global economic environment, according to KB Securities.
The securities company projected Vietnam’s GDP growth in the fourth quarter this year to reach 6.95 – 7%, taking the whole-year growth to nearly 7%.
KB Securities expected the disbursement rate of public investment to play a more active role for GDP growth in the remaining months, thanks to drastic measures from the government. Data from the Ministry of Finance revealed the disbursement rate in the first nine months of 2019 was around 45% of the target set by the National Assembly.
Meanwhile, exports are predicted to pick up where it left off in the previous period, thanks to the recovery of Vietnam’s smart phone production.
Global market intelligence firm International Data Corporation (IDC) expected global sales of smart phones would receive a boost thanks to the introduction of 5G smart phones, in turn having a positive effect on Vietnam’s smart phone production capacity and its exports in the October – December period.
Notably, KB Securities said in the September – December period, Vietnam’s smart phones exports to China would continue to rise, thanks to the year–end festive season , while the country’s exports of electronic products to US also continue its positive trend, thanks to the shift of production facilities from China to Vietnam.
Meanwhile, the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which came into effect since early 2019, would play a hand in expanding Vietnam’s export market in countries such as Mexico and Canada.
In the first eight months of 2019, Vietnam's exports to CPTPP member states climbed 7.5% year-on-year.
KB Securities expressed concern that the ongoing trade war is causing negative impacts on operation of foreign-invested companies in Vietnam, which is evidenced by the headline Nikkei Vietnam Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index (PMI) declining in two consecutive months to around 50.5 in September, the lowest reading over the last two months.
These companies are in the global value chain of Chinese and US multinationals, which are under direct impact from the trade war.
Illustrative photo.
|
KB Securities expected the disbursement rate of public investment to play a more active role for GDP growth in the remaining months, thanks to drastic measures from the government. Data from the Ministry of Finance revealed the disbursement rate in the first nine months of 2019 was around 45% of the target set by the National Assembly.
Meanwhile, exports are predicted to pick up where it left off in the previous period, thanks to the recovery of Vietnam’s smart phone production.
Global market intelligence firm International Data Corporation (IDC) expected global sales of smart phones would receive a boost thanks to the introduction of 5G smart phones, in turn having a positive effect on Vietnam’s smart phone production capacity and its exports in the October – December period.
Notably, KB Securities said in the September – December period, Vietnam’s smart phones exports to China would continue to rise, thanks to the year–end festive season , while the country’s exports of electronic products to US also continue its positive trend, thanks to the shift of production facilities from China to Vietnam.
Meanwhile, the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), which came into effect since early 2019, would play a hand in expanding Vietnam’s export market in countries such as Mexico and Canada.
In the first eight months of 2019, Vietnam's exports to CPTPP member states climbed 7.5% year-on-year.
KB Securities expressed concern that the ongoing trade war is causing negative impacts on operation of foreign-invested companies in Vietnam, which is evidenced by the headline Nikkei Vietnam Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' index (PMI) declining in two consecutive months to around 50.5 in September, the lowest reading over the last two months.
These companies are in the global value chain of Chinese and US multinationals, which are under direct impact from the trade war.
Other News
- IT training urged to focus on semiconductors
- Hanoi Great Souvenir Fair 2024 to take place next week
- As orders rise, Vietnamese textile firms see better prospects in 2024
- C.bank to auction nearly 17,000 gold taels on April 22
- Trade ministry proposes purchasing renewable electricity mechanisms without EVN’s involvement
- Australia and Vietnam develop competitive electricity markets
- Vietnam, Thailand advance realization of “Three Connections” strategy
- Vietnamese Gov’t to expand list of electricity buyers under direct power agreement scheme
- Viettel opens largest data center in Vietnam to support AI development
- Vietnam’s economy expected to grow at solid pace in 2024-2025: ADB
Trending
-
Hanoi, UNESCO pledge further cooperation
-
Vietnam news in brief - April 25
-
Vietnamese contemporary ballet celebrates Europe Day
-
Capital Law revision helps Hanoi promote role as nation’s socio-economic hub
-
IT training urged to focus on semiconductors
-
Voluntary social security should cover larger part of informal sector: Experts
-
ASEAN Future Forum 2024: Promoting regional centrality
-
Central bank moves gold auction to tomorrow
-
[Video]Hanoi beauty spots featured in saxophone legend Kenny G's music video