The CPTPP’s entry into force proves that the Vietnamese government determines to opt for the open, liberal and rules-based trading system while the word awaits the outcome of the current trade truce between the US and China, according to Pham Hong Hai, CEO of HSBC Bank (Vietnam) Ltd.
Pham Hong Hai, CEO of HSBC Bank (Vietnam) Ltd.
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The other four signatory countries of the trade accord include Brunei, Chile, Malaysia and Peru. President Donald Trump withdrew the US from the deal in January 2017 just days after being inaugurated.
“The CPTPP is indeed comprehensive and progressive in how it facilitates trade and investment in the 21st century, as it tackles issues such as ecommerce and data protection. Businesses are certain to benefit from greater clarity at a time of trade-policy turbulence – as well as from improved access to 500 million consumers,” Hai added.
Benefits for Vietnam
Ultimately, CPTPP will remove 95% of the current tariffs on trade among the partners. Vietnam can expect to benefit immediately in trade, especially export activities, including elimination of textiles and footwear tariffs by the majority of CPTPP members upon entry into force.
Although the increase will not be considerable for countries with which Vietnam has already signed bilateral or multilateral trade agreements, for Canada, the impacts will be positive. Canada is the second largest market among CPTPP members with which Vietnam has yet had a bilateral trade agreement. The country commits to cut 94.9% of import tariff lines, or 77.9% of its import turnover from Vietnam.
For Mexico and Peru, the impact is positive because the import and export products of these two markets are complementary rather than conflicting with Vietnam.
According to the World Bank, the CPTPP is expected to stimulate reforms in Vietnam in such areas as competition, services (including financial services, telecommunications, and temporary entry of service providers), customs, e-commerce, environment, government procurement, intellectual property, investment, labor standards, legal issues, market access for goods, rules of origin, non-tariff measures, and trade remedies.
Collectively, CPTPP members have a population of 500 million and account for 15% of world trade and 13% of global GDP. Ratification by the remaining members (Brunei, Chile, Malaysia and Peru) is expected to follow. There is also an opportunity for other markets to join – China, South Korea and the United Kingdom have all expressed interest.
Trade shifts
Not only will the CPTPP boost the trade of its members – it has been estimated that by 2030 exports in CPTPP countries will increase by more than 6%, especially 8% for Vietnam – but it may also lead to a shift in global supply chains as trade is rerouted to CPTPP countries, thanks to increased competitiveness from improved market access.
The implementation of the CPTPP will bring even more benefits over the next decade as duties on most remaining tariff lines are phased out. According to HSBC’s recent Navigator survey, nearly up to 39% companies in CPTPP member countries including those in Vietnam believe that the agreement will directly or indirectly help their businesses.
“FTAs such as the CPTPP simplify import and export procedures and reduce the cost to trade. For example, the CPTPP provides for full cumulation, meaning that businesses in CPTPP markets can use inputs sourced from other CPTPP markets to qualify for preferential treatment within the region. With the CPTPP now in effect, there is no better time for businesses to raise their awareness and maximize the benefits that are on offer,” Hai commented.
