Vietnam’s foreign currency reserves are at an all-time high of approximate US$52 billion thanks to the country’s stable macroeconomic conditions and strong influx of exports, foreign direct investment (FDI) and remittance, according to State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)’s Governor Le Minh Hung.
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The rise in the reserve fund in the past month has been driven by the purchase of foreign currency paid by Thai Beverage for a majority stake in Sabeco, the country’s biggest beer producer, according to the central bank.
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The rise of the country’s foreign reserves was reported in the context of the foreign exchange rate in the domestic market being relatively stable. A few years ago, the exchange rate usually fluctuated widely towards the year-end due to seasonal factors.
In particular, the USD/VND rate has undergone little change, although the US Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rates by 0.25 percentage points for the third time, effective December 14.
As the US rate increase was well-anticipated, the local forex market did not react negatively to the Fed’s rate announcement. The USD/VND rates were kept almost unchanged on December 15, a day following the rate hike. Across commercial banks, the dollar was traded at some VND22,675 on the buy side and VND22,755 on the sell side. The central bank’s daily fixing, however, was adjusted down by VND7 to VND22,443.
By December 14, the daily reference USD/VND exchange rate listed by the central bank increased by 1.29 per cent against earlier this year, while the rates quoted by commercial banks and in the unofficial market declined 0.18 per cent and 1.45 per cent, respectively.
According to the central bank, liquidity of the domestic foreign exchange market was good and met the demands of local organizations and individuals.
Experts attributed the stability to reasons such as SBV’s flexible central rate management mechanism, which ensured that the domestic foreign exchange market was less affected by global factors.
The Government’s policy to encourage locals to convert forex holdings into VND has also provided support. SBV has net purchased $8-8.5 billion worth of forex since the start of this year, higher than the surplus of $4.8 billion in the overall balance of payments.
In addition, the domestic supply-demand relationship with the dollar was relatively stable. Foreign currency supply from exports, foreign direct investment (FDI), official development assistance, tourism and remittances grew positively in 2017.
Vietnam recorded trade surplus of $2.7 billion in 2017, or 1.4 per cent of total export turnover, according to the Ministry of Industry and Trade. The total export value this year was $214 billion and import value was $211.1 billion, up 21.1 per cent and 20.8 per cent against last year, respectively.
The country’s total FDI capital in the period also reached a record high of $35.88 billion, up 44.4 per cent against the same period last year, while FDI disbursement capital also rose by 10.8 per cent to $17.5 billion.
Remittance this year is estimated at $13.8 billion against $11.5 billion last year, while the country is also expected to greet 13 million foreign visitors in 2017, earning a significant amount in hard currencies.
Caption: The forex reserves have grown fast over the past weeks following the share sale of Sabeco.
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