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What does the world expect from second Trump-Kim summit?
Let’s see what people around the world expect from this event.
The second summit between US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is expected to bring about something that help set up sustainable peace for the Korean Peninsula and the whole world.
Professor Katsuhito Asano – former Japanese State Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary
I think that’s not easy. The result of the conference will be the announced agreement to end the war against North Korea. Accordingly, the North will break nuclear power. The US will withdraw its troops from South Korea. Atomization was not carried out on the Korean Peninsula. But that’s just a dream of a story. If that were so easy, nobody would have to work as hard as they used to.
The main purpose of the declaration of the end of the war was to undermine the importance of the existence of the US military in Korea and reduction of the US nuclear role in the Eastern Pole. In the event that North Korea delays the implementation of a ballistic missile-discharge commitment, including nuclear and medium-range missiles, tension between the US, Korea and Japan and Korea will increase.
North Korea has therefore recognized that it has a great responsibility for peace and security in East Asia and would like to attend this second conference. Meanwhile, the basic principle of Japan is always in line with national security in order to avoid new conflicts.
Georgy Toloraya, Director of the Asian Strategy Center at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Economics
No other concessions have been made by North Korea. I believe this is due to Pyongyang’s desire to bargain for the most advantageous conditions for itself and get on the Americans’ nerves until the very last moment so that the DPRK leader himself could make some concessions at the meeting.
Narushige Michishita – Director of Security and International Studies Program at the Tokyo-based National Institute for Defense Studies
There are two likely scenarios, including the first is the so-called “OK scenario” when Trump and Kim may agree on a step-by-step roadmap to denuclearize North Korea and improve bilateral ties. He is certain that Pyongyang will not abandon its nuclear weapons but will take steps like freezing the work of nuclear reactors and providing access to inspectors.
The second would potentially be a “bad peace” scenario, if the US leader decides to significantly reduce the number of US troops in South Korea in response to the denuclearization promise (currently there are 28,500 American soldiers there).
Anou Martirosyan, French business advisor
None of the leaders need to meet for small talks. The official reason of this meeting is to find a way to denuclearize North Korea. The general policy of Trump unless this case, is not trying to solve any kind of conflict around the world.
He disengages US from many conflict scenes. I see obvious reasons like surrounding China with US friends and military bases, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, but also for a huge communication campaign introducing himself as a peace protector in the word. That can explain this train trip of Kim in China before to reach Vietnam, because I think China is aware since the economic war they start together.
For the Kim side, we all know that even if he want, he cannot completely change his policy, economy and government system just because he met Trump, but maybe few changes because finally, because of this summit. Trump gives him an occasion to be considered by the international community.
Finally I feel little ironies as never very peaceful countries making a peace summit but US and North Korea... Nations don’t have friends or enemies, they have interests.
To be very honest I expect lot of declarations, promises and hands shaking. But in facts, I'll be really surprised if anything unless tensions become after it.
Peace is something to build, to keep, and even to fight for.
Redek Jedlicka – Analyst, Czech Republic
I think it is great that Kim and Trump meet in person and discuss interests of their countries in four-eyes instead of sending messages through media. I feel optimistic about the event.
The second Trump-Kim summit is closely watched by whole world in order to preserve peace in Korean peninsula. The world’s youngest nuke superpower after achieving its main goal is ready to focus on North Korean economy and well-being of its people. And this will be surely one of main topics of the Summit. Harsh US sanction are still effective and paralize North Koreans economy. I believe Trump is ready to ease those sanctions in exchange for stepping off the nuke program. Both parties can benefit from finding common ground.
Mr. Kim on condition of anonymity – financial expert working in Hanoi
It is an important event for South Korea. However, I personally do not believe that Kim Jong Un will give up nuclear weapons, because nuke is the only asset that enables North Korea to sustain its weakening kingdom. Kim Jong Un’s strategy is to buy some time to develop more nuclear weapons and eventually threaten South Korea to move out the US troops.
Is it possible to have an end for the war on the peninsula instead of the ceasefire agreement that has lasted for more than six decades? Let’s see what people around the world expect from this event. Professor Katsuhito Asano – former Japanese State Secretary for Foreign Affairs, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary
Professor Katsuhito Asano. Photo: El
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The main purpose of the declaration of the end of the war was to undermine the importance of the existence of the US military in Korea and reduction of the US nuclear role in the Eastern Pole. In the event that North Korea delays the implementation of a ballistic missile-discharge commitment, including nuclear and medium-range missiles, tension between the US, Korea and Japan and Korea will increase.
North Korea has therefore recognized that it has a great responsibility for peace and security in East Asia and would like to attend this second conference. Meanwhile, the basic principle of Japan is always in line with national security in order to avoid new conflicts.
Georgy Toloraya, Director of the Asian Strategy Center at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Economics
No other concessions have been made by North Korea. I believe this is due to Pyongyang’s desire to bargain for the most advantageous conditions for itself and get on the Americans’ nerves until the very last moment so that the DPRK leader himself could make some concessions at the meeting.
Narushige Michishita – Director of Security and International Studies Program at the Tokyo-based National Institute for Defense Studies
Narushige Michishita. Photo: Korea Economic Institute
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The second would potentially be a “bad peace” scenario, if the US leader decides to significantly reduce the number of US troops in South Korea in response to the denuclearization promise (currently there are 28,500 American soldiers there).
Anou Martirosyan, French business advisor
Anou Martirosyan. Photo: Anou
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He disengages US from many conflict scenes. I see obvious reasons like surrounding China with US friends and military bases, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, but also for a huge communication campaign introducing himself as a peace protector in the word. That can explain this train trip of Kim in China before to reach Vietnam, because I think China is aware since the economic war they start together.
For the Kim side, we all know that even if he want, he cannot completely change his policy, economy and government system just because he met Trump, but maybe few changes because finally, because of this summit. Trump gives him an occasion to be considered by the international community.
Finally I feel little ironies as never very peaceful countries making a peace summit but US and North Korea... Nations don’t have friends or enemies, they have interests.
To be very honest I expect lot of declarations, promises and hands shaking. But in facts, I'll be really surprised if anything unless tensions become after it.
Peace is something to build, to keep, and even to fight for.
Redek Jedlicka – Analyst, Czech Republic
Redek Jedlicka. Photo: Linh Pham
|
The second Trump-Kim summit is closely watched by whole world in order to preserve peace in Korean peninsula. The world’s youngest nuke superpower after achieving its main goal is ready to focus on North Korean economy and well-being of its people. And this will be surely one of main topics of the Summit. Harsh US sanction are still effective and paralize North Koreans economy. I believe Trump is ready to ease those sanctions in exchange for stepping off the nuke program. Both parties can benefit from finding common ground.
Mr. Kim on condition of anonymity – financial expert working in Hanoi
It is an important event for South Korea. However, I personally do not believe that Kim Jong Un will give up nuclear weapons, because nuke is the only asset that enables North Korea to sustain its weakening kingdom. Kim Jong Un’s strategy is to buy some time to develop more nuclear weapons and eventually threaten South Korea to move out the US troops.
