Vietnam’s real estate market set for strong growth in remainder of 2022

The reopening of the economy in early 2022 and the effectiveness of new policies are set to lay the ground for strong growth of the real estate market during the remainder of the year.

Investors at a real estate project in Hanoi. Photo: Pham Hung/The Hanoi Times

Two years since the Covid-19 outbreak, the market has gradually adjusted to new changes in the post-pandemic period, resulting in a higher number of transactions against the same period of last year.

The market, however, remains imbalanced with high demand for housing amid scarce supplies. In Hanoi, prices of apartments have increased by 13% year-on-year, The market, however, remains lopsided with high demand for housing amid tight supplies. In Hanoi, apartment prices have risen 13% year-on-year, marking the fourth consecutive year of increase.

In downtown areas such as Cau Giay or Thanh Xuan districts, the prices have gone up significantly from around VND30-40 million (US$1,300-1,700) per square meter two years ago to VND45-60 million ($1,900-2,550). In suburban areas of Gia Lam, Hoai Duc, or Dong Anh districts, the selling prices now average VND30 million ($1,300) per square meter from around VND18-20 million ($765 – 850).

Meanwhile, prices of detached houses and villas have gone up 2-2.5-fold amid rising demands.

In Ho Chi Minh City, apartment prices are also up 8% year-on-year as there are no more apartments for sale at around VND2 billion ($85,000) on the market. Prices now range from as low as VND36 million ($1,530) per square meter to VND300 million ($12,752) each.

The selling prices for grade A apartments in Thu Duc City are now offered at VND55 million ($2,337) per square meter, surpassing the VND100 million ($4,250)-mark at District No.9.

A survey from the DHRA Vietnam revealed the segment of villas and detached houses has set up a new price range at VND700 billion ($30 million) per house.

Along with the rise of the market, the central region has also seen the presence of major real property projects, including three investment projects of the FPT Group in  Khanh Hoa Province, namely the FPT hi-tech and education urban area in Phuoc Dong commune (Nha Trang City) of 150 hectares; Digitalization Center and Services Urban area in Tuan Le, Bac Van Phong with 350 hectares; Leisure complex for experts at Ho Na – Mui Doi (Van Phong Bay) with 360 hectares.

Danang, seen as a major tourist hotspot in the central region, has also seen housing prices go up by 2-4 fold against the pre-Covid-19 pandemic.

Despite the rising house prices, new supplies continue to stay low. Data from the Ministry of Construction noted since the beginning of the year, the country records 40 new commercial housing projects, equivalent to 41% of the same period last year.

“There remains inconsistency in regulations related to real estate management, along with the lack of clear policies on the transparency and publicity of the planning process,” economist Can Van Luc, a member of the National Financial and Monetary Advisory Council, told The Hanoi Times.

Luc also pointed out complicated procedures in the investment process for real estate projects, while the digitalization in the sector has been slow compared to other economic fields.

Reasons for optimism

However, experts are of the view that the market would heat up in the remainder of the year, thanks to the bright economic outlook, the Government’s push for major infrastructure projects, and high demands for housing.

Economist Le Xuan Nghia noted Vietnam’s strong economic performance has somehow eased concern regarding the real estate or securities markets.

“Government’s efforts to keep macro-economic stability and low-interest rate environment would keep the real estate market intact and eventually recover,” Nghia told The Hanoi Times.

In recent months, the authorities have also tightened management of the market, which in the long term would ensure its healthy development and sustainable growth.

Recently, the National Assembly and the Government have approved major stimulus packages for the economy in general, and real estate in particular, including a fiscal package of VND350 trillion ($15 billion), and a 2%-interest rate subsidy scheme worth VND40 trillion ($1.7 billion).

Such a positive sentiment also comes in line with the view from market research conducted by the real estate website batdongsan.com.vn, which expected over 54,000 new products would be listed during the 2022-2023 period.