Vietnamese Gov’t forecasts CPI growth of up to 4.5% in 2025
With the goal of at least 8% GDP growth, the money supply in the economy will be significantly larger than in 2024. This will have an impact on price indices, particularly consumer prices.
With the goal of at least 8% GDP growth, the money supply in the economy will be significantly larger than in 2024. This will have an impact on price indices, particularly consumer prices.
Vietnam could widen fiscal deficit and public debt by an additional 3 – 4 percentage points of GDP without affecting the national financial security in the short- and long-terms.
To build economic recovery and install supply chain resilience, HSBC advocates three reform planks: trade and investment flows; digital connectivity; and linking nation development projects to globally agreed sustainable development goals.
Vietnam’s central bank is willing to increase the credit growth limits for banks from now until the end of the year to support economic growth.
Inflationary pressure in the remaining six months would be insignificant as the oil prices are unlikely to surge, which is a result of a possible global economic recession.
While the inflationary pressure, especially driven by hikes in prices of oil and food, devalues some currencies, Vietnam’s inflation target would remain unchanged.
UOB has trimmed their 2020 forecast for Vietnam to 3.5%, from 5.2% made earlier given the sharply weaker second-quarter performance.
There is a long road to go for government agencies to fully comply with transparency requirement in the Law on State Budget, said an expert.
Core inflation in the first six months of 2020 rose by 2.81% year-on-year.
The disbursed amount, however, remains significantly lower than expected.
This is mainly due to the government bond segment growing 10.5% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter, to reach US$53.3 billion.
The fact that the country could realize ADB’s economic forecast is already a no small feat, said the ADB's country director for Vietnam.
With many successes in economic development, Vietnam is an example for other emerging economies, said World Bank Country Director in Vietnam Ousmane Dione.
Locals could make a bet via a bank account, e-wallet or mobile phone bill.
The implementation of the National Single Window helps save costs for enterprises for almost all procedures compared to the previous traditional approach.
The resolution would take effect after 45 days since the signing date and be applied for this year’s tax payment period.
Such increases have created a burden on the citizens, while multinationals are taking advantage of Vietnam’s incentive policies to avoid taxes.
The country would remain the fastest growing economy in Southeast Asia, which is expected to bounce back to 6.8% in 2021.
Credit demand in Vietnam is expected to stay low in the foreseeable future as the Covid-19 pandemic continues to be complicated globally, said a central banker.
Foreign investors have been net buyers so far this month -- a first since January -- amid a stable currency.
In a worse scenario where GDP would expand 3.6% this year, Vietnam's fiscal deficit is forecast at 5.02% of GDP and public debt at 56.4%.